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EUR/GBP binary signal - UK Retail Sales - 19 Apr 2018

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Expiry Time: 
21:00 GMT
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The UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) will be releasing the monthly retail sales report today. The data covers the period of March. Economists forecast that UK's retail sales declined 0.5% on the month. This comes after retail sales rose 0.8% in the month before.

The decline in the retail sales comes amid improving wage conditions and inflation which has remained largely stable. Despite consumer prices still above the BoE's 2% inflation target rate, inflation has remained steady compared to the previous months last year where consumer prices surged strongly.

Economic data from earlier this week showed that the wage growth in the UK averaged 2.8% on the year. This was slower than forecast as wage growth increased at the same pace as the month before. However, the UK's unemployment rate edged lower to 4.2% after staying steady at 4.3% for the past few months.

The modest increase in wage growth is expected to put more spending power for the consumers. This could potentially translate to a slightly better than expected retail sales report. However, with the economists forecasting that retail sales might have declined 0.5%, we could expect to see a modest decline in the retail sales spending data.

Based on the above, today's forex trading signal is EURGBP. The currency pair was seen bouncing off the support level formed at 0.8620 over the week. The rebound off this level saw a brief retest near the support before price managed to push higher on the day.

With the new support formed at 0.8695, we expect to see further gains in store in the near term. Therefore, we are looking to purchase daily CALL options at 0.8715 for a 21:00 GMT expiry time. We expect the minor consolidation to breakout into a rally and thus close higher on the day.

binary options signal eurgbp 19 apr 2018

Disclaimer: The article is written for informative purposes only and it is not financial advice. The author does not have any position in the currency pairs mentioned, and no plans to initiate a position. He wrote the article himself and expressed his own opinions. Readers should not treat any opinion expressed by the author as a specific inducement to make a particular trade or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of his opinion. All risks and coasts associated with online trading are your responsibility.